According to Dr. Vo Dinh Tri (Ho Chi Minh City University of Economics and IPAG Business School Paris), in 2022, warned that a stock-asset bubble in Vietnam will be unlikely, while monetary policy has room to...
According to Dr. Vo Dinh Tri, in 2022, inflation is not high, Vietnam's GDP growth is forecasted to be likely to fall into a positive scenario. From France, he spent time with us at the beginning of the year.
Depends on global growth and inflation variables
-Dear Doctor, forecast the economic scenario of Vietnam 2022 as in the 4 scenarios Dr. together with the study authors, which scenario is most likely to fall into? Why?
Dr. Vo Dinh Tri: Vietnam's inflation and GDP growth in 2022 are forecast to most likely fall into scenario 2 or 3. These forecast figures also coincide with many other organizations and experts, most recently Dr. Vo Tri Thanh also has a similar forecast.
It is important that in the forecast scenarios that I and the research team give, we are based on a quantitative research model with input parameter data that, once adjusted or changed, will give results. adjusted forecast results.
The reason I think that Vietnam's 2022 inflation and GDP growth may fall into scenarios 2 and 3 is because re-watching the economic structure, especially from the 1998-2017 period, we depended quite a bit on the economy. much into the world economy (ie, it has a very high openness). Accordingly, once the world has variables such as high inflation affecting growth, it will greatly affect the economic growth of Vietnam. And if world growth is positive and inflation is not high, then Vietnam's GDP growth will also be very positive.
